The Bottom Line

Market Direction

Risk of Recession


S&P 1-Month Forecast

What’s Driving the Market?   How Accurate is this Forecast?

Though the risk of recession is currently “CRITICAL” at 108%, economic indicators continue to point the market in an downward direction. The probability for recession increased by 1.5% from the previous month and decreased 30.4% from 1 year ago. According to our model, the S&P is predicted to close at approximately 3397 by the end of the current month.

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